Clube Futebol Benfica vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
52.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clube Futebol Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
REA
5 - 1
CLU
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 0
CLU
85%
11%
5%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CLU
1 - 3
IRI
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CLU
0 - 5
ORI
13%
21%
67%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
1DE
4 - 0
CLU
80%
14%
7%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 3
VIL
23%
23%
54%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
IRI
2 - 0
CAR
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -3 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
MON
90%
8%
3%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
ADP
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FAT
1 - 3
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |