Uniao ABC vs Comercial MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
ABC
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
ABC
2 - 2
NOV
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
COS
3 - 1
ABC
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
ABC
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ABC
3 - 2
COS
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
ABC
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
OPE
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
COS
0 - 1
COM
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
OPE
4 - 1
COM
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 2
COS
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |