Atlético Peñaflor vs Sarmiento Juventud Unida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
16.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAP
7 - 0
VDA
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DLB
1 - 3
CAP
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 2
CAS
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VDA
2 - 3
CAP
10%
16%
74%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 1
DLB
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Sarmiento Juventud Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SJU
1 - 0
AOR
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TCD
0 - 1
SJU
9%
15%
76%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AOR
0 - 0
SJU
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SJU
5 - 1
TCD
89%
8%
3%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SJU
3 - 3
DPF
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |