Atlético Peñaflor vs Independiente Villa Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 0
CAP
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
CAP
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 0
CAP
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 3
SPE
32%
23%
44%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
CAP
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 2
IND
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
IND
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
IND
4 - 0
DEF
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ACJ
1 - 0
IND
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |