Atlético Peñaflor vs Defensores de Boca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 3
CAP
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAP
3 - 0
PAN
84%
11%
6%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
0 - 1
CAP
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAP
3 - 1
SPC
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAP
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 1
PAN
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
3 - 1
SPC
57%
20%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
0 - 1
CAP
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAN
2 - 3
DEF
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SPE
3 - 2
DEF
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |