Atlético Peñaflor vs Defensores de Boca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 1
MAR
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 0
CAP
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAP
4 - 3
IND
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ACJ
3 - 0
CAP
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 1
SPE
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 2
SPE
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 1
DEF
52%
22%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 1
SPO
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 2
DEF
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 2
TRI
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |