Atlético Peñaflor vs Defensores de Boca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ACJ
1 - 1
CAP
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 0
IND
34%
24%
43%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 0
CAP
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
CAP
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 0
CAP
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
3 - 1
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 0
DEF
58%
22%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
SPE
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
JUV
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 1
ACJ
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |