Atlético Cerrado vs SD Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
64.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cerrado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
5 - 0
CAC
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CAC
0 - 0
NCO
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAC
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
CAC
0 - 4
PAL
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CAC
3 - 1
SDS
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +4 |
Matches
SD Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
NCO
1 - 1
SDS
11%
16%
74%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SDS
0 - 1
PAL
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
SDS
1 - 2
FJE
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
FJE
3 - 0
SDS
16%
18%
67%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -3 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CAC
3 - 1
SDS
11%
16%
73%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | -2 |