12 de Octubre vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
SPT
1 - 3
12O
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
RPA
2 - 2
12O
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
12O
2 - 0
FER
41%
28%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
12O
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
12O
1 - 1
DEP
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
IND
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
DEP
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
SDP
0 - 1
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |