12 de Octubre vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
DEP
2 - 3
12O
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
12O
1 - 0
JLM
30%
28%
43%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
12O
0 - 2
OVE
25%
20%
56%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 0
12O
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
12O
1 - 2
GEN
33%
27%
41%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 0
SAN
30%
27%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
OLI
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 2
SAN
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
AME
3 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -2 |