Minerul Ocna Dej vs CSM Satu Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
39.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+93%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
9º
6º
38
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minerul Ocna Dej
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
BIS
3 - 0
MOD
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CFR
0 - 1
MOD
32%
22%
47%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MOD
0 - 0
SIM
67%
17%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MOD
1 - 1
SMA
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 3
MOD
26%
21%
53%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CSM Satu Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CSM
1 - 1
VIC
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CSM
2 - 1
BAI
31%
25%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 0
CSM
42%
21%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CSM
4 - 3
BIH
12%
20%
67%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 1
CSM
26%
21%
54%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |