Club Fortuna vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 1
FOR
42%
26%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
ABA
57%
23%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PUL
3 - 1
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
MOR
24%
25%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LHO
2 - 2
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
CAL
58%
23%
20%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
PIN
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
LOR
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
CIE
31%
26%
43%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
PUT
2 - 0
LOR
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |