Club Fortuna vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
FOR
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 3
PUL
18%
23%
60%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
UCA
3 - 1
FOR
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
IMP
9%
20%
72%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 1
PLU
30%
26%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JUM
2 - 1
ABA
62%
22%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ABA
1 - 2
MIN
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
YEC
6 - 1
ABA
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 0
ESP
38%
26%
37%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |