Club Fortuna vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PIN
0 - 1
FOR
33%
26%
41%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
IMP
27%
26%
47%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PLU
3 - 0
FOR
46%
25%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
PUL
34%
27%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CDB
0 - 2
FOR
14%
20%
66%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JUM
1 - 2
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
PIN
46%
25%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
IMP
2 - 0
BAL
60%
23%
18%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
PLU
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PUL
3 - 0
BAL
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |