Aurora vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 0
DES
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
DES
2 - 2
AUR
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AUR
3 - 1
RAM
55%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
RAM
0 - 1
AUR
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 0
FAN
85%
12%
4%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
STR
1 - 2
JWI
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
STR
6 - 0
RPO
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
BOL
0 - 0
STR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
STR
3 - 2
UNI
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 0
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |