Aurora vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SBW
1 - 0
AUR
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 1
BLO
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
5 - 3
AUR
71%
18%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
AUR
46%
25%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
STR
2 - 3
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 2
STR
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
RPO
0 - 0
STR
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
STR
3 - 0
OPE
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
JWI
4 - 3
STR
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |