Aurora vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
STR
1 - 2
AUR
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 0
OPE
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
BOL
4 - 2
AUR
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 1
PET
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
RPO
1 - 0
AUR
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
STR
1 - 2
AUR
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 1
STR
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
STR
1 - 4
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 1
STR
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |