Aurora vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 2
JWI
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2010 |
BLO
0 - 1
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
UNI
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 3
AUR
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
AUR
3 - 0
REA
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
OPE
4 - 0
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
STR
4 - 2
RPO
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
STR
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2010 |
STR
1 - 3
LAP
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
STR
2 - 1
JWI
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |