Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 1
VAS
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
STR
2 - 1
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
5 - 2
NAC
34%
26%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
NAC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
OPE
3 - 1
LAP
74%
16%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 1
BLO
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 2
OPE
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 1
STR
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
REA
1 - 4
OPE
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |