Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
LAP
2 - 2
AUR
55%
23%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
AUR
3 - 0
REA
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
AUR
0 - 0
UNI
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
AUR
3 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
BLO
2 - 0
AUR
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2008 |
OPE
2 - 1
BLO
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 1
OPE
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
RPO
2 - 4
OPE
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2008 |
OPE
3 - 4
JWI
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
OPE
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |