Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 2
UDV
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
AUR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 2
SAC
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
AUR
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 0
STR
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OPE
2 - 1
JWI
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
JWI
1 - 3
IND
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
DRT
1 - 0
JWI
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
JWI
1 - 0
BLO
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
JWI
1 - 1
BOL
25%
24%
52%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |