Aurora vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 0
REA
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
RPO
2 - 1
AUR
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
AUR
4 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
UCH
3 - 0
AUR
62%
21%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
OPE
1 - 1
AUR
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 1
GRE
11%
18%
72%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
6 - 1
ECS
78%
16%
6%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAP
0 - 2
GRE
9%
18%
73%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 1
GRE
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 2
GRE
9%
18%
74%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |