Torneo Federal B Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Villa Belgrano Junin vs Colón Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Belgrano Junin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CSD
2 - 0
VBJ
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
BRC
3 - 3
VBJ
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VBJ
2 - 0
BRC
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
VBJ
1 - 0
VIA
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
VIA
3 - 3
VBJ
27%
22%
51%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Colón Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CSD
2 - 0
VBJ
55%
21%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
CSD
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CSD
3 - 0
JUV
65%
18%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
CSD
6 - 1
AJM
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AJM
0 - 1
CSD
18%
19%
63%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |