Atlético Pulpileño vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Pulpileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
PUL
79%
14%
8%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 0
PUL
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PUL
1 - 1
UCA
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
IMP
1 - 0
PUL
69%
20%
11%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PUL
2 - 0
CAR
68%
20%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ABA
1 - 2
UCA
15%
21%
65%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
IMP
2 - 0
ABA
78%
16%
6%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 2
BAL
24%
25%
51%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 4
AGU
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |