Atlético Pulpileño vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Pulpileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
PUL
2 - 1
SAN
62%
20%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
PUL
2 - 0
LOR
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +3 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 3
PUL
74%
17%
10%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
PUL
2 - 1
LHO
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 0
PUL
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ABA
1 - 1
MOR
13%
21%
66%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 2
ABA
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LHO
2 - 0
ABA
80%
14%
6%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 0
FOR
30%
25%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CAL
2 - 0
ABA
61%
22%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |