Libertad FC vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2025 |
LIG
1 - 1
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
DEL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
AUC
2 - 0
CAL
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
3 - 1
UCE
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
2 - 1
MUS
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAC
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIG
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
MUS
4 - 3
MAC
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 1
BSC
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
DEL
0 - 0
MAC
39%
28%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |