2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
12º
4º
33
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 42 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 40 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 36 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 34 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 33 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 32 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 30 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 26 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 22 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 20 |
11º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 18 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0.5% | 31% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 69% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 2
2DE
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
2DE
0 - 0
LQE
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
2DE
0 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
2DE
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 1
JLM
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
CCP
3 - 0
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 0
ALI
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 3
CCP
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
CCP
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |