CSL Benfica vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.9%
Win probability
4.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.4%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.6%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.5%
2.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
HSA
1 - 4
BEN
15%
16%
69%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
BEN
3 - 0
LUL
89%
7%
4%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
SHA
4 - 1
BEN
6%
10%
84%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
CFC
3 - 4
BEN
5%
9%
85%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 3
UNI
78%
12%
10%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
SMA
0 - 4
LUL
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
UNI
9 - 0
SMA
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
SMA
0 - 8
FJH
27%
21%
52%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
SMA
0 - 2
HSA
31%
21%
48%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
CPK
8 - 0
SMA
89%
7%
4%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |