CSL Benfica vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.6%
Win probability
3.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.2%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.8%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.4%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.7%
2.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-110%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BEN
9 - 0
HSA
92%
6%
2%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LUL
1 - 4
BEN
9%
13%
78%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
BEN
11 - 0
TCK
87%
8%
5%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TOI
1 - 4
BEN
16%
16%
68%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MCA
0 - 1
BEN
52%
19%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TOI
3 - 3
SMA
65%
17%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CPK
11 - 1
SMA
92%
6%
3%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 2
MCA
9%
13%
78%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CHF
6 - 1
SMA
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SMA
4 - 2
HSA
39%
22%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |