CSL Benfica vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
KLM
0 - 4
BEN
52%
19%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CPK
0 - 4
BEN
49%
20%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
6 - 0
MCA
55%
19%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
WAK
0 - 5
BEN
50%
20%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BEN
9 - 1
MAC
54%
20%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 0
MAC
42%
21%
37%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
KLM
5 - 1
SMA
58%
19%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SMA
0 - 3
LAI
49%
21%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CPK
2 - 0
SMA
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 2
CHF
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |