CSL Benfica vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 4
BEN
28%
20%
52%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
7 - 0
LUL
77%
12%
11%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 3
CHF
65%
16%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
HSA
1 - 7
BEN
23%
19%
59%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
23 - 1
CPO
83%
11%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -19 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PSP
0 - 0
CPO
22%
19%
59%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CPK
4 - 0
PSP
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
PSP
3 - 0
SMA
23%
21%
57%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TCK
2 - 0
PSP
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
MCA
3 - 1
PSP
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |