CSL Benfica vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 5
BEN
22%
21%
57%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
BEN
5 - 0
CHF
63%
18%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
BEN
13 - 0
HSA
60%
18%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 0
HWA
67%
19%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
CPK
6 - 1
PSP
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
PSP
2 - 5
LAI
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
WAK
2 - 1
PSP
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
PSP
0 - 6
SMA
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
HSA
2 - 2
PSP
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |