CSL Benfica vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 5
BEN
22%
21%
57%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
BEN
5 - 0
CHF
63%
18%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
BEN
13 - 0
HSA
60%
18%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 0
HWA
67%
19%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
CPK
2 - 2
BEN
49%
20%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 5
CPK
55%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
LAI
0 - 6
MCA
31%
21%
48%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
MCA
6 - 5
WAK
50%
20%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SMA
3 - 0
MCA
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MCA
1 - 0
PSP
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |