CSL Benfica vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
WAK
0 - 5
BEN
50%
20%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BEN
9 - 1
MAC
54%
20%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LAI
0 - 8
BEN
41%
21%
38%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
CHF
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
PSP
0 - 3
BEN
35%
21%
44%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
MCA
2 - 0
KLM
59%
18%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CPK
0 - 2
MCA
51%
20%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
MCA
4 - 1
SMA
62%
18%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MCA
5 - 2
WAK
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 4
MCA
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |