CSL Benfica vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+158%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
GLP
1 - 2
BEN
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 0
WAK
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PSP
0 - 7
BEN
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 0
LLM
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BEN
11 - 0
KLM
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
MCA
4 - 0
CPK
64%
19%
18%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 3
MCA
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MCA
6 - 0
KTM
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
KLM
0 - 5
MCA
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MCA
5 - 1
GLP
51%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |