CSL Benfica vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 0
MAC
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 0
KTM
53%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
BEN
5 - 0
HNM
59%
21%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
GLP
1 - 0
BEN
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BEN
3 - 1
PSP
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
HNM
0 - 8
MCA
41%
22%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GLP
1 - 1
MCA
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MCA
2 - 2
PSP
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
WAK
0 - 0
MCA
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MCA
4 - 3
LLM
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |