CSL Benfica vs Lun Lok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.4%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.3%
10.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 3
CHF
65%
16%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
HSA
1 - 7
BEN
23%
19%
59%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
23 - 1
CPO
83%
11%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -19 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
CHF
1 - 7
BEN
17%
18%
65%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
6 - 0
MCA
73%
15%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CPK
9 - 0
LUL
74%
13%
13%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LUL
2 - 2
CPO
30%
19%
51%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
LUL
2 - 3
HSA
56%
19%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 2
LUL
81%
11%
8%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PSP
3 - 1
LUL
13%
16%
72%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |