Clodiense vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clodiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CLO
1 - 0
ACE
66%
22%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CLO
1 - 1
USB
76%
17%
7%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
CLO
15%
23%
62%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CLO
2 - 1
MON
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
CLO
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
TRI
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
VCB
2 - 2
VAR
20%
24%
55%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 1
CAS
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 3
VAR
19%
26%
55%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |