Cliftonville vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CLI
2 - 3
GLE
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COL
0 - 0
CLI
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CLI
1 - 0
BAL
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
CLI
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 2
CLI
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
INS
0 - 1
LIN
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 1
INS
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 0
INS
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
INS
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |