Cliftonville vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
GLE
0 - 2
CLI
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
LIS
0 - 2
CLI
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 2
CLI
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
CLI
1 - 0
DUN
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
COL
1 - 1
CLI
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
BMF
0 - 1
INS
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
BMF
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
GLE
0 - 1
INS
57%
22%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
INS
0 - 3
GLE
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |