Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 3-1
Cliftonville vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
DIF
1 - 1
CLI
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
COL
3 - 0
CLI
25%
25%
49%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
4 - 0
CLI
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CLI
1 - 3
CRU
41%
25%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CLI
0 - 2
GLE
58%
22%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
DIF
1 - 1
CLI
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
FOL
4 - 2
DIF
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
DIF
3 - 0
RUM
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
F91
0 - 1
DIF
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
DIF
2 - 1
ETZ
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |