Clermont II vs Bourgoin-Jallieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
9º
5º
51
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clermont II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LIM
6 - 2
CLE
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CLE
2 - 0
AIX
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAE
2 - 1
CLE
71%
17%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CLE
1 - 1
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LDU
2 - 0
CLE
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
AIN
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOU
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FEU
0 - 0
BOU
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
AIX
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAE
0 - 1
BOU
54%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |