Clemency vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clemency
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TBB
0 - 1
CLE
69%
17%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CLE
0 - 2
USS
20%
23%
57%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
STE
0 - 1
CLE
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CLE
0 - 0
BER
28%
23%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CBG
2 - 0
CLE
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
UME
0 - 2
AVE
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
JEU
2 - 1
UME
61%
20%
18%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TBB
0 - 0
UME
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UME
0 - 4
USS
29%
24%
46%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
STE
3 - 1
UME
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |