Claypole vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Claypole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
CAA
1 - 1
CLA
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CLA
2 - 2
LIN
40%
28%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SBA
0 - 1
CLA
39%
25%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CLA
2 - 1
ARR
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
CLA
0 - 1
YUP
57%
24%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 0
LIN
23%
27%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
SBA
0 - 0
LUG
56%
23%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 1
CAM
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
DPA
1 - 0
LUG
49%
25%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 0
ARR
56%
25%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |