Claypole vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Claypole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
CLA
0 - 1
JUU
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 1
CLA
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
CLA
0 - 0
SBA
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
CLA
0 - 1
ARR
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MUÑ
3 - 2
CLA
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
RIE
0 - 0
LUG
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 0
SMG
38%
29%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
YUP
2 - 2
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 2
VIC
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
JUU
35%
29%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |