Claypole vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Claypole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 0
CLA
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ITU
0 - 0
CLA
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CLA
0 - 0
JUU
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CES
3 - 0
CLA
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CLA
0 - 1
SMA
31%
26%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 1
ARR
44%
29%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DPA
1 - 0
LUG
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALE
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 1
LUG
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
YUP
2 - 2
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |