Claypole vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Claypole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
VIC
3 - 1
CLA
59%
23%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
UAI
2 - 2
CLA
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CLA
2 - 2
MUÑ
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ITU
0 - 0
CLA
49%
25%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
PUE
1 - 1
CLA
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 0
JUU
46%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
LUG
3 - 1
MID
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
YUP
3 - 2
LUG
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 2
CAD
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 1
CBA
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |