Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
83.7%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.6%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.8%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-104%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
6º
5º
40
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clarence Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
CZF
1 - 2
DEV
5%
10%
85%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ROF
0 - 2
CZF
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 0
CZF
86%
10%
5%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CZF
2 - 1
LAU
21%
19%
61%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CZF
6 - 1
LUS
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
KIN
2 - 3
SOU
27%
21%
52%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
LAU
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ROF
0 - 6
SOU
4%
8%
88%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 2
DEV
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 1
SOU
28%
22%
51%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |