Clapton vs Stansted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
70.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clapton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CLA
0 - 4
CLA
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SAW
1 - 1
CLA
31%
22%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
SAF
3 - 0
CLA
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CLA
0 - 4
WAL
10%
14%
76%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CLA
1 - 2
HOD
44%
22%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stansted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 1
STA
6%
13%
81%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
LOA
4 - 2
STA
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
STA
0 - 2
STA
46%
23%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
STA
3 - 0
CLA
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
STM
1 - 5
STA
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |