Clapton vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
76.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clapton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CLA
1 - 2
STA
13%
19%
68%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CLA
0 - 2
MIL
17%
20%
63%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CLA
0 - 0
STA
16%
20%
64%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 1
CRA
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RED
1 - 4
AVE
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 2
WAL
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 0
HEY
39%
24%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
5 - 1
AVE
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |